Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2 most likely near 29–30°C, driven by extensive cloud cover and high precipitation probabilities (65–90%) that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Easterly to northeasterly flow advects moist air, sustaining humidity above 80% and suppressing afternoon temperature peaks compared with the clearer, hotter conditions observed on September 1. Minor model spread in rain timing and intensity creates the tight contest between 29°C and 30°C implied probabilities, with historical early-September averages near 28–29°C providing context for the current setup. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の上海の最高気温は？
9月2日の上海の最高気温は？
29°C 38%
30°C 37%
28°C 16%
31°C 6%
新規
$44,061 Vol.
新規
$44,061 Vol.
2026/09/02
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
38%
30°C
37%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 37%
28°C 16%
31°C 6%
新規
$44,061 Vol.
新規
$44,061 Vol.
2026/09/02
25°C or below
$5,276 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,844 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,371 Vol.
4%
28°C
$6,515 Vol.
16%
29°C
$8,610 Vol.
38%
30°C
$7,765 Vol.
37%
31°C
$6,885 Vol.
6%
32°C
$1,460 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,328 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2 most likely near 29–30°C, driven by extensive cloud cover and high precipitation probabilities (65–90%) that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Easterly to northeasterly flow advects moist air, sustaining humidity above 80% and suppressing afternoon temperature peaks compared with the clearer, hotter conditions observed on September 1. Minor model spread in rain timing and intensity creates the tight contest between 29°C and 30°C implied probabilities, with historical early-September averages near 28–29°C providing context for the current setup. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$44,061終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2 most likely near 29–30°C, driven by extensive cloud cover and high precipitation probabilities (65–90%) that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Easterly to northeasterly flow advects moist air, sustaining humidity above 80% and suppressing afternoon temperature peaks compared with the clearer, hotter conditions observed on September 1. Minor model spread in rain timing and intensity creates the tight contest between 29°C and 30°C implied probabilities, with historical early-September averages near 28–29°C providing context for the current setup. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$44,061終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2 most likely near 29–30°C, driven by extensive cloud cover and high precipitation probabilities (65–90%) that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Easterly to northeasterly flow advects moist air, sustaining humidity above 80% and suppressing afternoon temperature peaks compared with the clearer, hotter conditions observed on September 1. Minor model spread in rain timing and intensity creates the tight contest between 29°C and 30°C implied probabilities, with historical early-September averages near 28–29°C providing context for the current setup. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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