Current weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a September 3 high near 30°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and 70-80% thunderstorm chances that limit solar heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions align with early September baselines around 29-31°C, where moisture from lingering monsoon influences or weak frontal boundaries often moderates peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this tight forecast spread, though revisions from updated runs or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日の上海の最高気温は？
9月3日の上海の最高気温は？
31°C 43%
30°C 39%
29°C 15%
28°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
39%
31°C
43%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 39%
29°C 15%
28°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
25°C or below
$897 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$704 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,089 Vol.
15%
30°C
$1,272 Vol.
39%
31°C
$2,206 Vol.
43%
32°C
$841 Vol.
4%
33°C
$372 Vol.
1%
34°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a September 3 high near 30°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and 70-80% thunderstorm chances that limit solar heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions align with early September baselines around 29-31°C, where moisture from lingering monsoon influences or weak frontal boundaries often moderates peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this tight forecast spread, though revisions from updated runs or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$8,883終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a September 3 high near 30°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and 70-80% thunderstorm chances that limit solar heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions align with early September baselines around 29-31°C, where moisture from lingering monsoon influences or weak frontal boundaries often moderates peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this tight forecast spread, though revisions from updated runs or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,883終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a September 3 high near 30°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and 70-80% thunderstorm chances that limit solar heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions align with early September baselines around 29-31°C, where moisture from lingering monsoon influences or weak frontal boundaries often moderates peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this tight forecast spread, though revisions from updated runs or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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