An early September Pacific storm system is driving cooler-than-average conditions across western Washington, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for widespread rain, showers, and possible thunderstorms on September 3. This setup favors onshore flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime heating, producing a market-implied high most likely in the mid-60s°F. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts converge on 64–67°F as the most probable range, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief afternoon clearing that could allow modest warming. Historical September 3 highs average near 74°F, but the storm’s suppression of solar radiation and advection of cooler marine air explain the downward shift. Traders are weighting the 64–67°F bins most heavily because model spread remains modest two days out, while lower probabilities on 68°F+ or sub-62°F outcomes reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast busts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のシアトルの最高気温は？
9月3日のシアトルの最高気温は？
66〜67°F 32%
64～65°F 28%
68～69°F 22%
62～63°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
華氏55度以下
1%
56〜57°F
1%
58〜59°F
1%
60〜61°F
5%
62～63°F
10%
64～65°F
28%
66〜67°F
32%
68～69°F
22%
70～71°F
4%
72～73°F
4%
華氏74度以上
7%
66〜67°F 32%
64～65°F 28%
68～69°F 22%
62～63°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
華氏55度以下
$0 Vol.
1%
56〜57°F
$0 Vol.
1%
58〜59°F
$0 Vol.
1%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
5%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
10%
64～65°F
$0 Vol.
28%
66〜67°F
$0 Vol.
32%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
22%
70～71°F
$0 Vol.
4%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
4%
華氏74度以上
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An early September Pacific storm system is driving cooler-than-average conditions across western Washington, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for widespread rain, showers, and possible thunderstorms on September 3. This setup favors onshore flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime heating, producing a market-implied high most likely in the mid-60s°F. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts converge on 64–67°F as the most probable range, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief afternoon clearing that could allow modest warming. Historical September 3 highs average near 74°F, but the storm’s suppression of solar radiation and advection of cooler marine air explain the downward shift. Traders are weighting the 64–67°F bins most heavily because model spread remains modest two days out, while lower probabilities on 68°F+ or sub-62°F outcomes reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast busts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
音量
$10終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 7:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An early September Pacific storm system is driving cooler-than-average conditions across western Washington, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for widespread rain, showers, and possible thunderstorms on September 3. This setup favors onshore flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime heating, producing a market-implied high most likely in the mid-60s°F. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts converge on 64–67°F as the most probable range, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief afternoon clearing that could allow modest warming. Historical September 3 highs average near 74°F, but the storm’s suppression of solar radiation and advection of cooler marine air explain the downward shift. Traders are weighting the 64–67°F bins most heavily because model spread remains modest two days out, while lower probabilities on 68°F+ or sub-62°F outcomes reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast busts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 7:55 AM ETAn early September Pacific storm system is driving cooler-than-average conditions across western Washington, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for widespread rain, showers, and possible thunderstorms on September 3. This setup favors onshore flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime heating, producing a market-implied high most likely in the mid-60s°F. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts converge on 64–67°F as the most probable range, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief afternoon clearing that could allow modest warming. Historical September 3 highs average near 74°F, but the storm’s suppression of solar radiation and advection of cooler marine air explain the downward shift. Traders are weighting the 64–67°F bins most heavily because model spread remains modest two days out, while lower probabilities on 68°F+ or sub-62°F outcomes reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast busts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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