Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 58°F on September 4, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market's near-certain positioning on the 58-59°F outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer marine layer conditions, with clear skies and light winds allowing radiative cooling to that level while daytime highs reached 72°F. The value sits slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological normal low of 56°F for the date. Realistic challenges to resolution include any post-event data revisions from the reporting station or resolution criteria referencing a different official site, though such adjustments remain uncommon once preliminary climate summaries are issued.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
9月4日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
58～59°F 99.5%
47°F以下 19%
48〜49°F 19%
50～51°F 19%
$1,362 Vol.
$1,362 Vol.
2026/09/04
47°F以下
いいえ
48〜49°F
いいえ
50～51°F
いいえ
52～53°F
いいえ
54〜55°F
いいえ
56～57°F
いいえ
58～59°F
はい
60～61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64～65°F
いいえ
66°F以上
いいえ
58～59°F 99.5%
47°F以下 19%
48〜49°F 19%
50～51°F 19%
$1,362 Vol.
$1,362 Vol.
2026/09/04
47°F以下
$122 Vol.
いいえ
48〜49°F
$12 Vol.
いいえ
50～51°F
$27 Vol.
いいえ
52～53°F
$44 Vol.
いいえ
54〜55°F
$39 Vol.
いいえ
56～57°F
$180 Vol.
いいえ
58～59°F
$264 Vol.
はい
60～61°F
$408 Vol.
いいえ
62〜63°F
$110 Vol.
いいえ
64～65°F
$59 Vol.
いいえ
66°F以上
$97 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 58°F on September 4, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market's near-certain positioning on the 58-59°F outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer marine layer conditions, with clear skies and light winds allowing radiative cooling to that level while daytime highs reached 72°F. The value sits slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological normal low of 56°F for the date. Realistic challenges to resolution include any post-event data revisions from the reporting station or resolution criteria referencing a different official site, though such adjustments remain uncommon once preliminary climate summaries are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$1,362終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 58°F on September 4, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market's near-certain positioning on the 58-59°F outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer marine layer conditions, with clear skies and light winds allowing radiative cooling to that level while daytime highs reached 72°F. The value sits slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological normal low of 56°F for the date. Realistic challenges to resolution include any post-event data revisions from the reporting station or resolution criteria referencing a different official site, though such adjustments remain uncommon once preliminary climate summaries are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,362終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 58°F on September 4, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market's near-certain positioning on the 58-59°F outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer marine layer conditions, with clear skies and light winds allowing radiative cooling to that level while daytime highs reached 72°F. The value sits slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological normal low of 56°F for the date. Realistic challenges to resolution include any post-event data revisions from the reporting station or resolution criteria referencing a different official site, though such adjustments remain uncommon once preliminary climate summaries are issued.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問