Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco highs near 66–68°F on September 4, 2026, as an early-season storm delivers clouds, light rain, and onshore flow through Thursday before clearing. This pattern suppresses temperatures 5–10°F below the long-term September average of about 70°F by enhancing the marine layer and westerly winds that moderate coastal conditions. Trader consensus favoring 68–71°F bins reflects model agreement on post-storm moderation without strong warming, alongside historical precedent for mild early-September days when marine influence dominates. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely drive further adjustments in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
9月4日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
70～71°F 43%
68〜69°F 28%
72〜73°F 10%
66〜67°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
61°F以下
1%
62～63°F
6%
64～65°F
8%
66〜67°F
9%
68〜69°F
30%
70～71°F
43%
72〜73°F
10%
華氏74～75度
4%
76〜77°F
2%
78～79°F
1%
80°F以上
1%
70～71°F 43%
68〜69°F 28%
72〜73°F 10%
66〜67°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
61°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
6%
64～65°F
$20 Vol.
8%
66〜67°F
$130 Vol.
9%
68〜69°F
$7 Vol.
30%
70～71°F
$31 Vol.
43%
72〜73°F
$60 Vol.
10%
華氏74～75度
$0 Vol.
4%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
2%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
1%
80°F以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco highs near 66–68°F on September 4, 2026, as an early-season storm delivers clouds, light rain, and onshore flow through Thursday before clearing. This pattern suppresses temperatures 5–10°F below the long-term September average of about 70°F by enhancing the marine layer and westerly winds that moderate coastal conditions. Trader consensus favoring 68–71°F bins reflects model agreement on post-storm moderation without strong warming, alongside historical precedent for mild early-September days when marine influence dominates. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely drive further adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$248終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco highs near 66–68°F on September 4, 2026, as an early-season storm delivers clouds, light rain, and onshore flow through Thursday before clearing. This pattern suppresses temperatures 5–10°F below the long-term September average of about 70°F by enhancing the marine layer and westerly winds that moderate coastal conditions. Trader consensus favoring 68–71°F bins reflects model agreement on post-storm moderation without strong warming, alongside historical precedent for mild early-September days when marine influence dominates. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely drive further adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$248終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco highs near 66–68°F on September 4, 2026, as an early-season storm delivers clouds, light rain, and onshore flow through Thursday before clearing. This pattern suppresses temperatures 5–10°F below the long-term September average of about 70°F by enhancing the marine layer and westerly winds that moderate coastal conditions. Trader consensus favoring 68–71°F bins reflects model agreement on post-storm moderation without strong warming, alongside historical precedent for mild early-September days when marine influence dominates. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely drive further adjustments in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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