Forecast consensus from major models places Amsterdam's September 2 high near 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early September climatology shows average highs of 20.8°C, and current conditions reflect typical late-summer moderation without strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, limiting odds of reaching 23°C or higher while supporting a tight cluster around 20–22°C; minor shifts in cloud cover or timing of any weak front could still adjust the final maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月2日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
21℃ 48%
22℃ 21%
20°C 15%
24°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
16°C以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19℃
7%
20°C
15%
21℃
48%
22℃
21%
23℃
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
21℃ 48%
22℃ 21%
20°C 15%
24°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
16°C以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19℃
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$13 Vol.
15%
21℃
$43 Vol.
48%
22℃
$0 Vol.
21%
23℃
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$5 Vol.
7%
25°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
26℃以上
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models places Amsterdam's September 2 high near 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early September climatology shows average highs of 20.8°C, and current conditions reflect typical late-summer moderation without strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, limiting odds of reaching 23°C or higher while supporting a tight cluster around 20–22°C; minor shifts in cloud cover or timing of any weak front could still adjust the final maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$321終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models places Amsterdam's September 2 high near 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early September climatology shows average highs of 20.8°C, and current conditions reflect typical late-summer moderation without strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, limiting odds of reaching 23°C or higher while supporting a tight cluster around 20–22°C; minor shifts in cloud cover or timing of any weak front could still adjust the final maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$321終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast consensus from major models places Amsterdam's September 2 high near 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early September climatology shows average highs of 20.8°C, and current conditions reflect typical late-summer moderation without strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, limiting odds of reaching 23°C or higher while supporting a tight cluster around 20–22°C; minor shifts in cloud cover or timing of any weak front could still adjust the final maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問