**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2, 2026, indicate a daily maximum temperature range of 26–31°C under generally cloudy skies with a few showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and north to northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort (gusts to 6 on high ground).** This range aligns closely with historical early-September normals near 30–31°C but reflects moderation from nearby tropical cyclone activity and associated moisture. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by limiting solar heating, versus periods of clearing that allow temperatures to approach the upper end of the forecast. Model outputs show slight divergence on the extent of afternoon sunshine versus lingering low-level moisture and wind, creating tight implied probabilities among 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Lower probabilities for 32°C+ or 28°C and below stem from the consensus upper bound near 31°C and limited intensification potential under the current steering pattern. Traders are weighting the official forecast range and short-term model consensus heavily, with the modest precipitation risk introducing the primary uncertainty between adjacent integers. Updated HKO briefings and refined model runs ahead of the 24-hour window will likely narrow the distribution further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の香港の最高気温は？
9月2日の香港の最高気温は？
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
31°C 18%
28°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
31°C 18%
28°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2, 2026, indicate a daily maximum temperature range of 26–31°C under generally cloudy skies with a few showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and north to northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort (gusts to 6 on high ground).** This range aligns closely with historical early-September normals near 30–31°C but reflects moderation from nearby tropical cyclone activity and associated moisture. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by limiting solar heating, versus periods of clearing that allow temperatures to approach the upper end of the forecast. Model outputs show slight divergence on the extent of afternoon sunshine versus lingering low-level moisture and wind, creating tight implied probabilities among 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Lower probabilities for 32°C+ or 28°C and below stem from the consensus upper bound near 31°C and limited intensification potential under the current steering pattern. Traders are weighting the official forecast range and short-term model consensus heavily, with the modest precipitation risk introducing the primary uncertainty between adjacent integers. Updated HKO briefings and refined model runs ahead of the 24-hour window will likely narrow the distribution further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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