**Trader consensus at 100% on 25°C reflects real-time Hong Kong Observatory station data and model consensus showing overnight minima near this threshold.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from Tropical Cyclone Saudel’s outer rainbands have limited radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from falling much below recent readings that dipped to approximately 25–26°C. Official HKO guidance for September 2 lists a 26°C minimum within a 26–30°C daily range, consistent with climatological September averages around 24.7°C but elevated by the current synoptic pattern. Resolution hinges on the final verified 24-hour minimum from primary HKO sites; any unexpected clear-sky window or measurement revision could shift the exact recorded value, though current conditions and model runs strongly support the 25°C outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の香港の最低気温は?
25°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$16,876 Vol.
$16,876 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$16,876 Vol.
$16,876 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% on 25°C reflects real-time Hong Kong Observatory station data and model consensus showing overnight minima near this threshold.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from Tropical Cyclone Saudel’s outer rainbands have limited radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from falling much below recent readings that dipped to approximately 25–26°C. Official HKO guidance for September 2 lists a 26°C minimum within a 26–30°C daily range, consistent with climatological September averages around 24.7°C but elevated by the current synoptic pattern. Resolution hinges on the final verified 24-hour minimum from primary HKO sites; any unexpected clear-sky window or measurement revision could shift the exact recorded value, though current conditions and model runs strongly support the 25°C outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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