Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate overnight lows in London on September 1 will likely settle near 13–15 °C under mild southwesterly flow and building high pressure, keeping the boundary layer relatively warm. This consensus aligns with the 13 °C outcome leading at 41 % implied probability, followed by 14 °C and 12 °C, as traders weigh ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages of roughly 12.8 °C. Stable conditions with limited cloud cover and no incoming cold air masses reduce the chance of deeper cooling, while minor model spread on exact minimums sustains interest in the 12–14 °C band. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify whether any nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies pushes readings lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月1日のロンドンの最低気温は？
13°C 42%
14℃ 40%
18°C以上 32%
11℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
8℃以下
4%
9°C
15%
10℃
15%
11℃
20%
12℃
18%
13°C
42%
14℃
22%
15℃
13%
16°C
20%
17°C
2%
18°C以上
32%
13°C 42%
14℃ 40%
18°C以上 32%
11℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
8℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
9°C
$0 Vol.
15%
10℃
$0 Vol.
15%
11℃
$0 Vol.
20%
12℃
$38 Vol.
18%
13°C
$18 Vol.
42%
14℃
$55 Vol.
22%
15℃
$10 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C以上
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate overnight lows in London on September 1 will likely settle near 13–15 °C under mild southwesterly flow and building high pressure, keeping the boundary layer relatively warm. This consensus aligns with the 13 °C outcome leading at 41 % implied probability, followed by 14 °C and 12 °C, as traders weigh ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages of roughly 12.8 °C. Stable conditions with limited cloud cover and no incoming cold air masses reduce the chance of deeper cooling, while minor model spread on exact minimums sustains interest in the 12–14 °C band. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify whether any nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies pushes readings lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$121終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate overnight lows in London on September 1 will likely settle near 13–15 °C under mild southwesterly flow and building high pressure, keeping the boundary layer relatively warm. This consensus aligns with the 13 °C outcome leading at 41 % implied probability, followed by 14 °C and 12 °C, as traders weigh ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages of roughly 12.8 °C. Stable conditions with limited cloud cover and no incoming cold air masses reduce the chance of deeper cooling, while minor model spread on exact minimums sustains interest in the 12–14 °C band. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify whether any nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies pushes readings lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$121終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including GFS indicate overnight lows in London on September 1 will likely settle near 13–15 °C under mild southwesterly flow and building high pressure, keeping the boundary layer relatively warm. This consensus aligns with the 13 °C outcome leading at 41 % implied probability, followed by 14 °C and 12 °C, as traders weigh ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages of roughly 12.8 °C. Stable conditions with limited cloud cover and no incoming cold air masses reduce the chance of deeper cooling, while minor model spread on exact minimums sustains interest in the 12–14 °C band. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify whether any nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies pushes readings lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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