Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の成都の最高気温は？
9月1日の成都の最高気温は？
34°C 29%
35°C 23%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
23%
36°C
19%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
3%
34°C 29%
35°C 23%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
28°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$10 Vol.
2%
32°C
$20 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$9 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
23%
36°C
$103 Vol.
19%
37°C
$95 Vol.
7%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$346終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$346終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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