Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月4日のシカゴの最高気温は？
7月4日のシカゴの最高気温は？
82〜83°F 100.0%
75°F以下 <1%
76〜77°F <1%
78〜79°F <1%
$87,488 Vol.
$87,488 Vol.
2026/07/04
75°F以下
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
はい
84～85°F
いいえ
86～87°F
いいえ
88～89°F
いいえ
90～91°F
いいえ
92～93°F
いいえ
94°F以上
いいえ
82〜83°F 100.0%
75°F以下 <1%
76〜77°F <1%
78〜79°F <1%
$87,488 Vol.
$87,488 Vol.
2026/07/04
75°F以下
$11,583 Vol.
いいえ
76〜77°F
$5,821 Vol.
いいえ
78〜79°F
$9,078 Vol.
いいえ
80〜81°F
$9,476 Vol.
いいえ
82〜83°F
$11,704 Vol.
はい
84～85°F
$15,260 Vol.
いいえ
86～87°F
$6,083 Vol.
いいえ
88～89°F
$7,298 Vol.
いいえ
90～91°F
$4,576 Vol.
いいえ
92～93°F
$2,750 Vol.
いいえ
94°F以上
$3,859 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$87,488終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$87,488終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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