Trader sentiment for Chicago's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 64-71°F outcomes, driven primarily by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 66-71°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Midwest. The National Weather Service Chicago office anticipates a high near 69°F under partly cloudy skies, but model spread—GFS leaning warmer at 71°F, Euro cooler at 67°F—stems from uncertainty in the timing of an incoming weak cold front and jet stream undulations. This late-winter warmth exceeds the 47°F climatological average, reflecting Arctic Oscillation influences, with traders weighing 2-meter temperature divergences across 00Z runs for final differentiation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 26?
68-69°F 17%
70-71°F 17%
64-65°F 14%
66-67°F 14%
$44,027 Vol.
$44,027 Vol.
59°F or below
5%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 17%
70-71°F 17%
64-65°F 14%
66-67°F 14%
$44,027 Vol.
$44,027 Vol.
59°F or below
5%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chicago's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 64-71°F outcomes, driven primarily by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 66-71°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Midwest. The National Weather Service Chicago office anticipates a high near 69°F under partly cloudy skies, but model spread—GFS leaning warmer at 71°F, Euro cooler at 67°F—stems from uncertainty in the timing of an incoming weak cold front and jet stream undulations. This late-winter warmth exceeds the 47°F climatological average, reflecting Arctic Oscillation influences, with traders weighing 2-meter temperature divergences across 00Z runs for final differentiation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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