Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 5°C (33.5%) or 4°C (28.0%) for Toronto's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest Environment Canada and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converging on mid-single digits amid a weak upper-level trough over eastern North America. Recent 00Z forecast updates show slight warming from prior runs, boosting 6°C+ odds to 21.5%, but lingering uncertainty stems from jet stream waviness and potential cold air advection from Hudson Bay, with ensemble spreads of 2-3°C differentiating outcomes. Historical March 24 averages hover around 6°C, yet this year's La Niña pattern favors cooler anomalies, tempering upside risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月24日のトロントの最高気温は?
3月24日のトロントの最高気温は?
5°C 32%
4℃ 28%
6°C以上 22%
2℃ 13%
-4°C以下
3%
-3°C
6%
-2°C
7%
-1°C
6%
0℃
7%
1°C
10%
2℃
13%
3°C
13%
4℃
28%
5°C
32%
6°C以上
22%
5°C 32%
4℃ 28%
6°C以上 22%
2℃ 13%
-4°C以下
3%
-3°C
6%
-2°C
7%
-1°C
6%
0℃
7%
1°C
10%
2℃
13%
3°C
13%
4℃
28%
5°C
32%
6°C以上
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 5°C (33.5%) or 4°C (28.0%) for Toronto's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest Environment Canada and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converging on mid-single digits amid a weak upper-level trough over eastern North America. Recent 00Z forecast updates show slight warming from prior runs, boosting 6°C+ odds to 21.5%, but lingering uncertainty stems from jet stream waviness and potential cold air advection from Hudson Bay, with ensemble spreads of 2-3°C differentiating outcomes. Historical March 24 averages hover around 6°C, yet this year's La Niña pattern favors cooler anomalies, tempering upside risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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