Trader sentiment on Toronto's highest temperature March 23 clusters tightly around 1-3°C, reflecting ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada, GFS, and ECMWF models that converge on daytime highs near 2°C amid a persistent northerly flow channeling Arctic air across the Great Lakes. Leading 2°C and 3°C odds at 23.5% each edge out 1°C (19.5%) due to subtle model divergences: the Canadian CMC ensemble leans slightly warmer with lake-effect moderation possible, while GFS holds cooler biases from stronger cold front reinforcement. Historical late-March averages hover at 5-6°C, but current upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch 12Z model updates for resolution-shifting clarity on exact peak at Pearson International.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on March 23?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 23?
2°C 24%
1°C 20%
0°C 19%
5°C or higher 19%
-5°C or below
9%
-4°C
8%
-3°C
13%
-2°C
14%
-1°C
16%
0°C
19%
1°C
20%
2°C
24%
3°C
24%
4°C
10%
5°C or higher
19%
2°C 24%
1°C 20%
0°C 19%
5°C or higher 19%
-5°C or below
9%
-4°C
8%
-3°C
13%
-2°C
14%
-1°C
16%
0°C
19%
1°C
20%
2°C
24%
3°C
24%
4°C
10%
5°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Toronto's highest temperature March 23 clusters tightly around 1-3°C, reflecting ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada, GFS, and ECMWF models that converge on daytime highs near 2°C amid a persistent northerly flow channeling Arctic air across the Great Lakes. Leading 2°C and 3°C odds at 23.5% each edge out 1°C (19.5%) due to subtle model divergences: the Canadian CMC ensemble leans slightly warmer with lake-effect moderation possible, while GFS holds cooler biases from stronger cold front reinforcement. Historical late-March averages hover at 5-6°C, but current upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch 12Z model updates for resolution-shifting clarity on exact peak at Pearson International.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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