Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward a highest temperature of 17°C or 18°C in Wuhan on March 24, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime highs around 17-18°C under anticipated southerly winds and partial sunshine. These outcomes edge out cooler options (9-16°C cluster) due to above-normal spring warmth from a weakened polar vortex, contrasting Wuhan's historical March average high of 14-15°C measured at Hankou station. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness capping at 16°C or lower in conservative runs, versus clearer skies pushing toward 19°C; monitor China Meteorological Administration updates for 24-hour shifts in boundary layer conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月24日の武漢の最高気温は?
3月24日の武漢の最高気温は?
17°C 28%
18℃ 28%
9℃以下 26%
10℃ 26%
9℃以下
26%
10℃
26%
11℃
26%
12°C
26%
13℃
26%
14℃
26%
15°C
26%
16℃
26%
17°C
28%
18℃
28%
19℃以上
26%
17°C 28%
18℃ 28%
9℃以下 26%
10℃ 26%
9℃以下
26%
10℃
26%
11℃
26%
12°C
26%
13℃
26%
14℃
26%
15°C
26%
16℃
26%
17°C
28%
18℃
28%
19℃以上
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward a highest temperature of 17°C or 18°C in Wuhan on March 24, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime highs around 17-18°C under anticipated southerly winds and partial sunshine. These outcomes edge out cooler options (9-16°C cluster) due to above-normal spring warmth from a weakened polar vortex, contrasting Wuhan's historical March average high of 14-15°C measured at Hankou station. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness capping at 16°C or lower in conservative runs, versus clearer skies pushing toward 19°C; monitor China Meteorological Administration updates for 24-hour shifts in boundary layer conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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