Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23 remains tightly clustered across outcomes from 14°C or below to 24°C or higher, reflecting high uncertainty in short-range weather models amid the city's variable spring conditions. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a potential range of 15–22°C, driven by fluctuating southerly winds carrying subtropical moisture and intermittent cloud cover that could suppress highs. Historical data shows March 23 averages around 18°C, but recent developments—including a weakening cold front and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River basin—slightly favor mid-teens to low-20s, with 20°C edging ahead at 26% implied probability as models converge on partial clearing. Upcoming hourly updates from local stations will be pivotal for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23 remains tightly clustered across outcomes from 14°C or below to 24°C or higher, reflecting high uncertainty in short-range weather models amid the city's variable spring conditions. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a potential range of 15–22°C, driven by fluctuating southerly winds carrying subtropical moisture and intermittent cloud cover that could suppress highs. Historical data shows March 23 averages around 18°C, but recent developments—including a weakening cold front and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River basin—slightly favor mid-teens to low-20s, with 20°C edging ahead at 26% implied probability as models converge on partial clearing. Upcoming hourly updates from local stations will be pivotal for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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