Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF peg Seoul's March 22 high temperature in a tight 12-15°C range, fueling the close race among 14°C+ (31.5%), 12°C (26.5%), and 13°C (22.5%) odds, as traders weigh mild high-pressure influence against potential afternoon clouds muting peaks. This reflects a +2-3°C anomaly above the 11°C March historical average, driven by persistent southerly flows post-winter, though ensemble spread introduces uncertainty—warmer runs emphasize clearer skies for urban heat island amplification, while cooler ones flag light showers. Diurnal maximum hinges on 2-4pm solar heating; real-time observations today could swing resolutions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
14°C or higher 32%
12°C 26%
13°C 23%
11°C 14%
$75,477 Vol.
$75,477 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
26%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
32%
14°C or higher 32%
12°C 26%
13°C 23%
11°C 14%
$75,477 Vol.
$75,477 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
26%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF peg Seoul's March 22 high temperature in a tight 12-15°C range, fueling the close race among 14°C+ (31.5%), 12°C (26.5%), and 13°C (22.5%) odds, as traders weigh mild high-pressure influence against potential afternoon clouds muting peaks. This reflects a +2-3°C anomaly above the 11°C March historical average, driven by persistent southerly flows post-winter, though ensemble spread introduces uncertainty—warmer runs emphasize clearer skies for urban heat island amplification, while cooler ones flag light showers. Diurnal maximum hinges on 2-4pm solar heating; real-time observations today could swing resolutions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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