Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 22 high temperature reveals extreme forecast uncertainty, with 23°C edging ahead at 26% amid evenly split 25.5% odds across cooler (16°C or below) to warmer (26°C+) bins, driven by divergent ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS. Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate typically sees March highs around 18-20°C historically, but urban heat island effects and Yangtze River humidity amplify diurnal swings, while a lingering cold front from northern China clashes with southerly warm advection, per China Meteorological Administration updates. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks below 20°C versus clear skies enabling 23-25°C surges; watch tomorrow's 00Z model runs for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
23°C 26%
16°C or below 26%
17°C 26%
18°C 26%
16°C or below
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
26%
23°C 26%
16°C or below 26%
17°C 26%
18°C 26%
16°C or below
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 22 high temperature reveals extreme forecast uncertainty, with 23°C edging ahead at 26% amid evenly split 25.5% odds across cooler (16°C or below) to warmer (26°C+) bins, driven by divergent ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS. Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate typically sees March highs around 18-20°C historically, but urban heat island effects and Yangtze River humidity amplify diurnal swings, while a lingering cold front from northern China clashes with southerly warm advection, per China Meteorological Administration updates. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks below 20°C versus clear skies enabling 23-25°C surges; watch tomorrow's 00Z model runs for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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