Recent India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 31-32°C for Lucknow on March 23, anchoring trader sentiment with 50% implied probability on 31°C or below and 29% on exactly 32°C. This aligns with March climatology, where historical highs average 30.5°C amid the seasonal shift from winter continental air masses to pre-monsoon heating, moderated by residual soil moisture and northerly winds. Preceding days recorded peaks near 30°C under partly cloudy conditions from a weak western disturbance, while ensemble models from IMD and ECMWF show divergence only above 34°C, with negligible heatwave risk per official thresholds. No major updates expected ahead of observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
31°C or below 55%
32°C 29%
33°C 10%
34°C 7%
$45,514 Vol.
$45,514 Vol.
31°C or below
51%
32°C
29%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
31°C or below 55%
32°C 29%
33°C 10%
34°C 7%
$45,514 Vol.
$45,514 Vol.
31°C or below
51%
32°C
29%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 31-32°C for Lucknow on March 23, anchoring trader sentiment with 50% implied probability on 31°C or below and 29% on exactly 32°C. This aligns with March climatology, where historical highs average 30.5°C amid the seasonal shift from winter continental air masses to pre-monsoon heating, moderated by residual soil moisture and northerly winds. Preceding days recorded peaks near 30°C under partly cloudy conditions from a weak western disturbance, while ensemble models from IMD and ECMWF show divergence only above 34°C, with negligible heatwave risk per official thresholds. No major updates expected ahead of observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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