Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 11°C (29%) and 12°C (31%) for Ankara's highest temperature on March 24, driven by ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish MGM forecasts projecting mild continental air under weak high-pressure influence, with peaks in the 10-13°C range. Recent 00Z model runs show slight divergence: ECMWF leaning cooler at 11°C amid northerly winds and cloud cover, while GFS edges warmer to 12°C with emerging ridging. Historical March 24 data at Esenboğa Airport averages 12.5°C but varies ±3°C due to diurnal solar forcing and urban heat effects, amplifying uncertainty in this low-volatility spring setup ahead of official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
12°C 30%
11°C 27%
10°C 14%
13°C 13%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
14%
11°C
27%
12°C
30%
13°C
13%
14°C
10%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 30%
11°C 27%
10°C 14%
13°C 13%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
14%
11°C
27%
12°C
30%
13°C
13%
14°C
10%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 11°C (29%) and 12°C (31%) for Ankara's highest temperature on March 24, driven by ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish MGM forecasts projecting mild continental air under weak high-pressure influence, with peaks in the 10-13°C range. Recent 00Z model runs show slight divergence: ECMWF leaning cooler at 11°C amid northerly winds and cloud cover, while GFS edges warmer to 12°C with emerging ridging. Historical March 24 data at Esenboğa Airport averages 12.5°C but varies ±3°C due to diurnal solar forcing and urban heat effects, amplifying uncertainty in this low-volatility spring setup ahead of official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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