Trader sentiment on Milan's highest temperature March 20 clusters tightly around 15-16°C due to converging ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in that range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow over northern Italy. The slim edge for 16°C (40%) over 15°C (39.5%) reflects recent model runs showing slightly enhanced insolation from reduced cloud cover, boosting peak temperatures by 1°C in deterministic outputs, while 17°C (22%) gains from warmer GFS perturbations. Historical March 20 highs at Milan Linate average 13°C, but this anomalously warm setup—driven by a displaced jet stream—elevates odds, with uncertainty tied to boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection; watch 12Z updates for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月20日のミラノの最高気温は?
3月20日のミラノの最高気温は?
15℃ 45%
16℃ 37%
17°C 17%
19℃ 2.7%
$28,689 Vol.
$28,689 Vol.
10℃以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12℃
1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
2%
15℃
43%
16℃
37%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19℃
3%
20℃以上
1%
15℃ 45%
16℃ 37%
17°C 17%
19℃ 2.7%
$28,689 Vol.
$28,689 Vol.
10℃以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12℃
1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
2%
15℃
43%
16℃
37%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19℃
3%
20℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 2:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Milan's highest temperature March 20 clusters tightly around 15-16°C due to converging ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in that range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow over northern Italy. The slim edge for 16°C (40%) over 15°C (39.5%) reflects recent model runs showing slightly enhanced insolation from reduced cloud cover, boosting peak temperatures by 1°C in deterministic outputs, while 17°C (22%) gains from warmer GFS perturbations. Historical March 20 highs at Milan Linate average 13°C, but this anomalously warm setup—driven by a displaced jet stream—elevates odds, with uncertainty tied to boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection; watch 12Z updates for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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