Trader sentiment favors a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 at 39% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting mild southerly flow and ridging aloft, pushing temperatures into the upper 60s to low 70s under partly cloudy skies. Supporting 66-67°F (26%) and 64-65°F (20.5%) bins reflect model consensus amid lingering cool upper-air influences from recent frontal passages, with climatological March highs averaging 67°F providing baseline context. Recent developments include a 2-3°F upward revision in overnight runs due to enhanced warm advection, though diurnal mixing and isolated showers introduce uncertainty, as 24-hour forecast skill declines beyond 48 hours per NWS verification stats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
66-67°F 26%
62-63°F 21%
64-65°F 21%
60-61°F 17%
49°F or below
2%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
26%
68°F or higher
38%
66-67°F 26%
62-63°F 21%
64-65°F 21%
60-61°F 17%
49°F or below
2%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
26%
68°F or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 at 39% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting mild southerly flow and ridging aloft, pushing temperatures into the upper 60s to low 70s under partly cloudy skies. Supporting 66-67°F (26%) and 64-65°F (20.5%) bins reflect model consensus amid lingering cool upper-air influences from recent frontal passages, with climatological March highs averaging 67°F providing baseline context. Recent developments include a 2-3°F upward revision in overnight runs due to enhanced warm advection, though diurnal mixing and isolated showers introduce uncertainty, as 24-hour forecast skill declines beyond 48 hours per NWS verification stats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問