Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 76-81°F highs for Los Angeles on March 28, propelled by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles forecasting a strengthening upper-level ridge over Southern California, implying peak temperatures near 78-80°F at LAX under light offshore flow. Key differentiators include model spread from coastal marine layer persistence, which could cap peaks at 74-77°F via stratus cloud cover, versus adiabatic compression from northerly winds boosting 80-81°F or even 86°F+ in drier scenarios—echoing March historical outliers amid typical 70°F averages. NWS guidance leans 78-82°F, but 00Z runs' warm bias versus cooler 12Z outliers sustain the razor-thin odds spread ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
76-77°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 18%
67°F or below
17%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
17%
76-77°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 18%
67°F or below
17%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 76-81°F highs for Los Angeles on March 28, propelled by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles forecasting a strengthening upper-level ridge over Southern California, implying peak temperatures near 78-80°F at LAX under light offshore flow. Key differentiators include model spread from coastal marine layer persistence, which could cap peaks at 74-77°F via stratus cloud cover, versus adiabatic compression from northerly winds boosting 80-81°F or even 86°F+ in drier scenarios—echoing March historical outliers amid typical 70°F averages. NWS guidance leans 78-82°F, but 00Z runs' warm bias versus cooler 12Z outliers sustain the razor-thin odds spread ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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