Trader consensus favors 17°C (26.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 28, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing daytime peaks clustering at 16-18°C under mild southerly airflow and partial sunshine. This edges out 15-16°C options (18% each), as recent model runs indicate reduced cloud cover and urban heat island effects boosting afternoon warming beyond historical late-March norms of 13-15°C. Cooler 14°C or below carries lower odds (15.5-7.5%) due to scant precipitation signals, while 19-20°C (16.5-15.5%) and 21°C+ (12%) reflect uncertainty in peak solar insolation amid variable wind shear. Traders eye final 12Z updates for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?
17°C 33%
18°C 20%
16°C 20%
15°C 19%
11°C or below
8%
12°C
12%
13°C
15%
14°C
17%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
27%
18°C
20%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
13%
17°C 33%
18°C 20%
16°C 20%
15°C 19%
11°C or below
8%
12°C
12%
13°C
15%
14°C
17%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
27%
18°C
20%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 17°C (26.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 28, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing daytime peaks clustering at 16-18°C under mild southerly airflow and partial sunshine. This edges out 15-16°C options (18% each), as recent model runs indicate reduced cloud cover and urban heat island effects boosting afternoon warming beyond historical late-March norms of 13-15°C. Cooler 14°C or below carries lower odds (15.5-7.5%) due to scant precipitation signals, while 19-20°C (16.5-15.5%) and 21°C+ (12%) reflect uncertainty in peak solar insolation amid variable wind shear. Traders eye final 12Z updates for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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