The National Weather Service forecast for Dallas-Fort Worth on April 16 calls for a high near 79°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, per the latest guidance amid a Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Slight risk for severe weather in the southern Plains. However, trader sentiment clusters around 84-87°F (67% combined implied probability), reflecting ensemble model spread—such as GFS and ECMWF runs—where sunnier outcomes with persistent southerly winds and minimal early convection could boost peaks into mid-80s, while increased cloud cover caps them lower. NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures and ongoing drought conditions favor the warmer bias, with historical April averages near 77°F. New evening model updates will clarify convective timing and boundary layer heating differentials driving the close 84-85°F (35%) versus 86-87°F (32%) split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月16日のダラスの最高気温は?
4月16日のダラスの最高気温は?
84〜85°F 32%
86~87°F 30%
82~83°F 16%
88〜89°F 14%
華氏75度以下
1%
76〜77°F
1%
78〜79°F
4%
80〜81°F
5%
82~83°F
16%
84〜85°F
32%
86~87°F
30%
88〜89°F
14%
90~91°F
8%
92~93°F
2%
94°F以上
1%
84〜85°F 32%
86~87°F 30%
82~83°F 16%
88〜89°F 14%
華氏75度以下
1%
76〜77°F
1%
78〜79°F
4%
80〜81°F
5%
82~83°F
16%
84〜85°F
32%
86~87°F
30%
88〜89°F
14%
90~91°F
8%
92~93°F
2%
94°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The National Weather Service forecast for Dallas-Fort Worth on April 16 calls for a high near 79°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, per the latest guidance amid a Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Slight risk for severe weather in the southern Plains. However, trader sentiment clusters around 84-87°F (67% combined implied probability), reflecting ensemble model spread—such as GFS and ECMWF runs—where sunnier outcomes with persistent southerly winds and minimal early convection could boost peaks into mid-80s, while increased cloud cover caps them lower. NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures and ongoing drought conditions favor the warmer bias, with historical April averages near 77°F. New evening model updates will clarify convective timing and boundary layer heating differentials driving the close 84-85°F (35%) versus 86-87°F (32%) split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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