Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on May 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 13?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$205,924 Vol.
$205,924 Vol.
2026/05/13
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$205,924 Vol.
$205,924 Vol.
2026/05/13
47°F or below
$26,878 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$11,492 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$12,006 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$26,842 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$11,409 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$16,626 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$15,729 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$11,406 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$14,216 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$21,890 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$37,431 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
音量
$205,924終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$205,924終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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