Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecasts point to daytime maxima of 30–31°C on July 7 under typical early-July subtropical conditions featuring light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover. These values align with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes because small differences in insolation, timing of any showers, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the July–September outlook raise the chance of brief clears that could push readings to 33°C or higher, while increased monsoon moisture or stronger winds favor the 28–29°C range. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月7日の香港の最高気温は?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$281,831 Vol.
$281,831 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$281,831 Vol.
$281,831 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecasts point to daytime maxima of 30–31°C on July 7 under typical early-July subtropical conditions featuring light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover. These values align with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes because small differences in insolation, timing of any showers, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the July–September outlook raise the chance of brief clears that could push readings to 33°C or higher, while increased monsoon moisture or stronger winds favor the 28–29°C range. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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