Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 30–32°C in Guangzhou on April 18, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of around 29°C under mostly cloudy skies, blended with warmer guidance from ECMWF and GFS models projecting up to 32°C amid reduced cloud breaks. Recent days saw highs of 30–31°C during an above-normal warm spell for April—typically averaging 26°C—fueled by a persistent subtropical ridge, though high humidity (80–85%) and possible showers introduce uncertainty in peak insolation. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread on afternoon convective activity, urban heat island amplification in Guangzhou's dense core, and exact timing of the diurnal maximum near official Baiyun Airport station observations; final CMA updates and hourly data releases today could shift odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
31°C 29%
32°C 21%
30°C 21%
33°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
28°C or below
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
21%
31°C
29%
32°C
23%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
32°C 21%
30°C 21%
33°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
28°C or below
$409 Vol.
10%
29°C
$110 Vol.
16%
30°C
$49 Vol.
21%
31°C
$97 Vol.
29%
32°C
$353 Vol.
23%
33°C
$207 Vol.
13%
34°C
$402 Vol.
2%
35°C
$3,010 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$920 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 30–32°C in Guangzhou on April 18, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of around 29°C under mostly cloudy skies, blended with warmer guidance from ECMWF and GFS models projecting up to 32°C amid reduced cloud breaks. Recent days saw highs of 30–31°C during an above-normal warm spell for April—typically averaging 26°C—fueled by a persistent subtropical ridge, though high humidity (80–85%) and possible showers introduce uncertainty in peak insolation. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread on afternoon convective activity, urban heat island amplification in Guangzhou's dense core, and exact timing of the diurnal maximum near official Baiyun Airport station observations; final CMA updates and hourly data releases today could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ET
音量
$7,781終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 30–32°C in Guangzhou on April 18, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of around 29°C under mostly cloudy skies, blended with warmer guidance from ECMWF and GFS models projecting up to 32°C amid reduced cloud breaks. Recent days saw highs of 30–31°C during an above-normal warm spell for April—typically averaging 26°C—fueled by a persistent subtropical ridge, though high humidity (80–85%) and possible showers introduce uncertainty in peak insolation. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread on afternoon convective activity, urban heat island amplification in Guangzhou's dense core, and exact timing of the diurnal maximum near official Baiyun Airport station observations; final CMA updates and hourly data releases today could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,781終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 30–32°C in Guangzhou on April 18, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of around 29°C under mostly cloudy skies, blended with warmer guidance from ECMWF and GFS models projecting up to 32°C amid reduced cloud breaks. Recent days saw highs of 30–31°C during an above-normal warm spell for April—typically averaging 26°C—fueled by a persistent subtropical ridge, though high humidity (80–85%) and possible showers introduce uncertainty in peak insolation. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread on afternoon convective activity, urban heat island amplification in Guangzhou's dense core, and exact timing of the diurnal maximum near official Baiyun Airport station observations; final CMA updates and hourly data releases today could shift odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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