Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$280,114 Vol.
$280,114 Vol.
2026/05/03
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$280,114 Vol.
$280,114 Vol.
2026/05/03
21°C or below
$10,432 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,952 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,935 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,234 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,571 Vol.
No
26°C
$31,916 Vol.
No
27°C
$47,615 Vol.
No
28°C
$55,135 Vol.
No
29°C
$46,401 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$36,366 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$21,557 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$280,114終了日
2026/05/03マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$280,114終了日
2026/05/03マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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