Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$189,464 Vol.
$189,464 Vol.
2026/05/04
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$189,464 Vol.
$189,464 Vol.
2026/05/04
16°C or below
$2,282 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,301 Vol.
No
18°C
$671 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,242 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,219 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,390 Vol.
No
22°C
$10,486 Vol.
No
23°C
$16,474 Vol.
No
24°C
$43,144 Vol.
No
25°C
$25,433 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$76,821 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$189,464終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$189,464終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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