Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from late May 5, 2026, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C at key stations including the Observatory headquarters and Chek Lap Kok, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon suppressing highs. This aligns with model consensus forecasts showing cool, cloudy conditions with east-southeast winds limiting daytime warming, well below May's typical average maximum of around 28°C. While measurement revisions from outlier stations are theoretically possible, they are exceedingly rare post-preliminary validation, solidifying the market's resolution based on verified meteorological data from the territory's authoritative monitoring body.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$475,657 Vol.
$475,657 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$475,657 Vol.
$475,657 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from late May 5, 2026, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C at key stations including the Observatory headquarters and Chek Lap Kok, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon suppressing highs. This aligns with model consensus forecasts showing cool, cloudy conditions with east-southeast winds limiting daytime warming, well below May's typical average maximum of around 28°C. While measurement revisions from outlier stations are theoretically possible, they are exceedingly rare post-preliminary validation, solidifying the market's resolution based on verified meteorological data from the territory's authoritative monitoring body.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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