**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 29?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 29?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$73,472 Vol.
$73,472 Vol.
2026/04/29
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$73,472 Vol.
$73,472 Vol.
2026/04/29
10°C or below
$474 Vol.
No
11°C
$759 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,913 Vol.
No
13°C
$24,272 Vol.
No
14°C
$10,454 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$6,108 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,153 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,510 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,427 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,382 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$2,020 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
音量
$73,472終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$73,472終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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