Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,001 Vol.
$58,001 Vol.
2026/06/14
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,001 Vol.
$58,001 Vol.
2026/06/14
20°C or below
$6,340 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,408 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,940 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,724 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,705 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,370 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,531 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$4,313 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,933 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,630 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,105 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$58,001終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$58,001終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問