Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
6月17日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
23°C 100.0%
19℃以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,494 Vol.
$46,494 Vol.
2026/06/17
19℃以下
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23°C
はい
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃以上
いいえ
23°C 100.0%
19℃以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,494 Vol.
$46,494 Vol.
2026/06/17
19℃以下
$321 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$1,015 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$1,680 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$4,072 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$9,958 Vol.
はい
24°C
$8,086 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$5,926 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$4,978 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$3,826 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$3,948 Vol.
いいえ
29℃以上
$2,685 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$46,494終了日
2026/06/17マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$46,494終了日
2026/06/17マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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