**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 Vol.
$81,305 Vol.
2026/05/04
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 Vol.
$81,305 Vol.
2026/05/04
28°C or below
$15,524 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,144 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,764 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,913 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,073 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,359 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,675 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$17,138 Vol.
No
36°C
$15,458 Vol.
No
37°C
$8,021 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,238 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$81,305終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$81,305終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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