Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Shanghai on July 5, driven by typical early-July subtropical conditions with moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C (28%) and nearby outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate instability from the East Asian monsoon, where afternoon convection and urban heat effects introduce variability in observed maxima. Key variables include timing of any rainfall, which can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C, versus clearer spells allowing brief spikes; historical July averages near 32°C provide context but yield to short-term synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月5日の上海の最高気温は？
7月5日の上海の最高気温は？
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$289,015 Vol.
$289,015 Vol.
2026/07/05
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$289,015 Vol.
$289,015 Vol.
2026/07/05
27°C or below
$24,876 Vol.
No
28°C
$45,053 Vol.
No
29°C
$53,100 Vol.
No
30°C
$50,694 Vol.
No
31°C
$37,978 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$19,384 Vol.
No
33°C
$21,905 Vol.
No
34°C
$19,469 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,531 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,711 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,314 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Shanghai on July 5, driven by typical early-July subtropical conditions with moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C (28%) and nearby outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate instability from the East Asian monsoon, where afternoon convection and urban heat effects introduce variability in observed maxima. Key variables include timing of any rainfall, which can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C, versus clearer spells allowing brief spikes; historical July averages near 32°C provide context but yield to short-term synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$289,015終了日
2026/07/05マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Shanghai on July 5, driven by typical early-July subtropical conditions with moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C (28%) and nearby outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate instability from the East Asian monsoon, where afternoon convection and urban heat effects introduce variability in observed maxima. Key variables include timing of any rainfall, which can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C, versus clearer spells allowing brief spikes; historical July averages near 32°C provide context but yield to short-term synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$289,015終了日
2026/07/05マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Shanghai on July 5, driven by typical early-July subtropical conditions with moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C (28%) and nearby outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate instability from the East Asian monsoon, where afternoon convection and urban heat effects introduce variability in observed maxima. Key variables include timing of any rainfall, which can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C, versus clearer spells allowing brief spikes; historical July averages near 32°C provide context but yield to short-term synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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