Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 25 indicate a daytime maximum near 35°C amid the ongoing UK heatwave, driven by persistent high pressure and southerly flow of warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model runs show moderate spread around this value due to timing of any Atlantic front or cloud cover that could cap peak readings, which explains the tight market clustering between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes. Historical June maxima in London average near 21°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Updated model outputs from the Met Office and ECMWF are expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on June 25?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$380,834 Vol.
$380,834 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$380,834 Vol.
$380,834 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 23, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 25 indicate a daytime maximum near 35°C amid the ongoing UK heatwave, driven by persistent high pressure and southerly flow of warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model runs show moderate spread around this value due to timing of any Atlantic front or cloud cover that could cap peak readings, which explains the tight market clustering between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes. Historical June maxima in London average near 21°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Updated model outputs from the Met Office and ECMWF are expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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