Official Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts establish a 17°C daytime maximum for London on June 6, 2026, under unsettled post-May conditions featuring light rain, moderate south-westerly winds, and limited solar heating that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June following the prior month’s heatwave. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome reflects this high-confidence guidance from authoritative sources, with minimal spread in observations and projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted rapid clearance of cloud cover or warmer air advection, though current data and model consensus make substantial deviation before resolution highly unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月6日のロンドンの最高気温は?
17°C 100.0%
14℃以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
16°C <1%
$215,459 Vol.
$215,459 Vol.
14℃以下
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
はい
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃以上
いいえ
17°C 100.0%
14℃以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
16°C <1%
$215,459 Vol.
$215,459 Vol.
14℃以下
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
はい
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts establish a 17°C daytime maximum for London on June 6, 2026, under unsettled post-May conditions featuring light rain, moderate south-westerly winds, and limited solar heating that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June following the prior month’s heatwave. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome reflects this high-confidence guidance from authoritative sources, with minimal spread in observations and projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted rapid clearance of cloud cover or warmer air advection, though current data and model consensus make substantial deviation before resolution highly unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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