Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 20°C amid sunny intervals transitioning to increasing cloud cover and light southerly winds around 8-10 km/h, which limited further solar heating after midday. This verified measurement, aligning closely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UKV and global ECMWF ensembles projecting 19-21°C maxima, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 20°C as traders aggregate real-time synoptic data with skin-in-the-game precision. While early May climatology typically sees London highs near 17°C, yesterday's conditions fit mild high-pressure influence without anomalous warmth. Realistic challenges include minor data quality revisions in final validation or a late-submitted outlier from peripheral sites like Kew Gardens exceeding 20°C, though unlikely given standardized reporting protocols; watch for Met Office's monthly summary for closure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on May 3?
Highest temperature in London on May 3?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$204,129 Vol.
$204,129 Vol.
2026/05/03
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$204,129 Vol.
$204,129 Vol.
2026/05/03
14°C or below
$4,444 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,067 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,101 Vol.
No
17°C
$16,328 Vol.
No
18°C
$24,461 Vol.
No
19°C
$36,315 Vol.
No
20°C
$31,920 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$32,274 Vol.
No
22°C
$27,815 Vol.
No
23°C
$14,302 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$6,104 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 20°C amid sunny intervals transitioning to increasing cloud cover and light southerly winds around 8-10 km/h, which limited further solar heating after midday. This verified measurement, aligning closely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UKV and global ECMWF ensembles projecting 19-21°C maxima, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 20°C as traders aggregate real-time synoptic data with skin-in-the-game precision. While early May climatology typically sees London highs near 17°C, yesterday's conditions fit mild high-pressure influence without anomalous warmth. Realistic challenges include minor data quality revisions in final validation or a late-submitted outlier from peripheral sites like Kew Gardens exceeding 20°C, though unlikely given standardized reporting protocols; watch for Met Office's monthly summary for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
音量
$204,129終了日
2026/05/03マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 12:23 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 20°C amid sunny intervals transitioning to increasing cloud cover and light southerly winds around 8-10 km/h, which limited further solar heating after midday. This verified measurement, aligning closely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UKV and global ECMWF ensembles projecting 19-21°C maxima, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 20°C as traders aggregate real-time synoptic data with skin-in-the-game precision. While early May climatology typically sees London highs near 17°C, yesterday's conditions fit mild high-pressure influence without anomalous warmth. Realistic challenges include minor data quality revisions in final validation or a late-submitted outlier from peripheral sites like Kew Gardens exceeding 20°C, though unlikely given standardized reporting protocols; watch for Met Office's monthly summary for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$204,129終了日
2026/05/03マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 12:23 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow, confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 20°C amid sunny intervals transitioning to increasing cloud cover and light southerly winds around 8-10 km/h, which limited further solar heating after midday. This verified measurement, aligning closely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UKV and global ECMWF ensembles projecting 19-21°C maxima, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 20°C as traders aggregate real-time synoptic data with skin-in-the-game precision. While early May climatology typically sees London highs near 17°C, yesterday's conditions fit mild high-pressure influence without anomalous warmth. Realistic challenges include minor data quality revisions in final validation or a late-submitted outlier from peripheral sites like Kew Gardens exceeding 20°C, though unlikely given standardized reporting protocols; watch for Met Office's monthly summary for closure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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