Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the main factors capping Los Angeles daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms for July 7, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–77 °F. Sea-surface temperatures along the coast remain near or slightly above average, while upper-level ridging associated with the developing El Niño provides only modest warming aloft. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect uncertainty in the exact depth and timing of marine-layer clearing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Latest NWS briefings and 00Z/12Z runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月7日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
7月7日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
74～75°F 100.0%
華氏65度以下 <1%
66〜67°F <1%
68〜69°F <1%
$117,291 Vol.
$117,291 Vol.
2026/07/07
華氏65度以下
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70〜71°F
いいえ
72～73°F
いいえ
74～75°F
はい
76～77°F
いいえ
78～79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
華氏84度以上
いいえ
74～75°F 100.0%
華氏65度以下 <1%
66〜67°F <1%
68〜69°F <1%
$117,291 Vol.
$117,291 Vol.
2026/07/07
華氏65度以下
$1,134 Vol.
いいえ
66〜67°F
$1,852 Vol.
いいえ
68〜69°F
$4,067 Vol.
いいえ
70〜71°F
$6,086 Vol.
いいえ
72～73°F
$21,290 Vol.
いいえ
74～75°F
$28,745 Vol.
はい
76～77°F
$26,064 Vol.
いいえ
78～79°F
$8,509 Vol.
いいえ
80〜81°F
$6,125 Vol.
いいえ
82〜83°F
$5,753 Vol.
いいえ
華氏84度以上
$7,665 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the main factors capping Los Angeles daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms for July 7, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–77 °F. Sea-surface temperatures along the coast remain near or slightly above average, while upper-level ridging associated with the developing El Niño provides only modest warming aloft. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect uncertainty in the exact depth and timing of marine-layer clearing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Latest NWS briefings and 00Z/12Z runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$117,291終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the main factors capping Los Angeles daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms for July 7, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–77 °F. Sea-surface temperatures along the coast remain near or slightly above average, while upper-level ridging associated with the developing El Niño provides only modest warming aloft. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect uncertainty in the exact depth and timing of marine-layer clearing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Latest NWS briefings and 00Z/12Z runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$117,291終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the main factors capping Los Angeles daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms for July 7, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–77 °F. Sea-surface temperatures along the coast remain near or slightly above average, while upper-level ridging associated with the developing El Niño provides only modest warming aloft. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect uncertainty in the exact depth and timing of marine-layer clearing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Latest NWS briefings and 00Z/12Z runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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