Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by a deeper coastal inversion and classic June Gloom pattern, are driving trader consensus toward the 68-69°F bin as the most likely high for downtown Los Angeles on June 19. Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show stronger onshore flow and thicker low clouds persisting through midweek, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal 77-79°F normal and favoring readings in the upper 60s. This aligns with observed cooling trends since June 16, when a midweek cooldown reestablished the marine layer after brief warming. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of limited solar insolation and afternoon clearing delays against the chance of modest layer erosion, which keeps secondary bins like 66-67°F and 70-71°F in play but at lower implied odds. Updated NHC and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours will be key to any shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月19日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
70~71°F 100.0%
59°F以下 <1%
60〜61°F <1%
62〜63°F <1%
$84,670 Vol.
$84,670 Vol.
59°F以下
いいえ
60〜61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70~71°F
はい
72〜73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76~77°F
いいえ
78°F以上
いいえ
70~71°F 100.0%
59°F以下 <1%
60〜61°F <1%
62〜63°F <1%
$84,670 Vol.
$84,670 Vol.
59°F以下
いいえ
60〜61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70~71°F
はい
72〜73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76~77°F
いいえ
78°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by a deeper coastal inversion and classic June Gloom pattern, are driving trader consensus toward the 68-69°F bin as the most likely high for downtown Los Angeles on June 19. Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show stronger onshore flow and thicker low clouds persisting through midweek, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal 77-79°F normal and favoring readings in the upper 60s. This aligns with observed cooling trends since June 16, when a midweek cooldown reestablished the marine layer after brief warming. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of limited solar insolation and afternoon clearing delays against the chance of modest layer erosion, which keeps secondary bins like 66-67°F and 70-71°F in play but at lower implied odds. Updated NHC and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours will be key to any shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問