Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 Vol.
$149,214 Vol.
2026/04/24
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 Vol.
$149,214 Vol.
2026/04/24
18°C or below
$9,467 Vol.
No
19°C
$12,373 Vol.
No
20°C
$13,974 Vol.
No
21°C
$15,606 Vol.
No
22°C
$21,511 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$24,517 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,281 Vol.
No
25°C
$16,843 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,784 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,013 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$7,847 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
音量
$149,214終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$149,214終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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