Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 1?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 1?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,276 Vol.
$67,276 Vol.
2026/06/01
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,276 Vol.
$67,276 Vol.
2026/06/01
29°C or below
$845 Vol.
No
30°C
$992 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,686 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,868 Vol.
No
33°C
$15,019 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,283 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,893 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$10,326 Vol.
No
37°C
$9,326 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,199 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$837 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$67,276終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$67,276終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問