Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$17,173 Vol.
$17,173 Vol.
2026/06/03
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$17,173 Vol.
$17,173 Vol.
2026/06/03
21°C or below
$434 Vol.
No
22°C
$540 Vol.
No
23°C
$675 Vol.
No
24°C
$547 Vol.
No
25°C
$497 Vol.
No
26°C
$413 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,270 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,627 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,409 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,078 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$5,682 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
音量
$17,173終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$17,173終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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