Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 8–10°C for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and Gismeteo, which project daytime highs of 8–10°C amid overcast conditions, light rain, and northerly winds of 6–11 m/s from a passing cold front. Current observations today at VDNKh station show similar muted highs near 9°C with drizzle, limiting solar insolation and capping warming. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show minor divergence on frontal timing and cloud breaks, creating uncertainty that differentiates outcomes—more persistent clouds favor 8°C, while brief clearing could push to 10°C. Final hourly data releases from Rosgidromet overnight and early April 18 will likely sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
9°C 33%
10°C 25%
8°C 22%
7°C 11%
新規
$13,030 Vol.
新規
$13,030 Vol.
2026/04/18
6°C or below
2%
7°C
11%
8°C
22%
9°C
33%
10°C
25%
11°C
9%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 33%
10°C 25%
8°C 22%
7°C 11%
新規
$13,030 Vol.
新規
$13,030 Vol.
2026/04/18
6°C or below
$1,025 Vol.
2%
7°C
$883 Vol.
11%
8°C
$309 Vol.
22%
9°C
$521 Vol.
33%
10°C
$578 Vol.
25%
11°C
$1,365 Vol.
9%
12°C
$2,458 Vol.
2%
13°C
$2,343 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,498 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,140 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$1,014 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 8–10°C for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and Gismeteo, which project daytime highs of 8–10°C amid overcast conditions, light rain, and northerly winds of 6–11 m/s from a passing cold front. Current observations today at VDNKh station show similar muted highs near 9°C with drizzle, limiting solar insolation and capping warming. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show minor divergence on frontal timing and cloud breaks, creating uncertainty that differentiates outcomes—more persistent clouds favor 8°C, while brief clearing could push to 10°C. Final hourly data releases from Rosgidromet overnight and early April 18 will likely sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
音量
$13,030終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 8–10°C for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and Gismeteo, which project daytime highs of 8–10°C amid overcast conditions, light rain, and northerly winds of 6–11 m/s from a passing cold front. Current observations today at VDNKh station show similar muted highs near 9°C with drizzle, limiting solar insolation and capping warming. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show minor divergence on frontal timing and cloud breaks, creating uncertainty that differentiates outcomes—more persistent clouds favor 8°C, while brief clearing could push to 10°C. Final hourly data releases from Rosgidromet overnight and early April 18 will likely sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$13,030終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 8–10°C for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and Gismeteo, which project daytime highs of 8–10°C amid overcast conditions, light rain, and northerly winds of 6–11 m/s from a passing cold front. Current observations today at VDNKh station show similar muted highs near 9°C with drizzle, limiting solar insolation and capping warming. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show minor divergence on frontal timing and cloud breaks, creating uncertainty that differentiates outcomes—more persistent clouds favor 8°C, while brief clearing could push to 10°C. Final hourly data releases from Rosgidromet overnight and early April 18 will likely sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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