Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,149 Vol.
$47,149 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,149 Vol.
$47,149 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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