Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show a daytime maximum near 21°C at Munich's official station, supported by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and stable high pressure that limits solar heating and convective development. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover around 20–23°C amid typical Atlantic-influenced weather patterns. Trader consensus at 100% for 21°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time observational data confirming limited warming potential. A sudden shift to clearer skies, stronger southerly advection, or reduced cloud cover could allow temperatures to exceed this threshold before sunset, though current guidance indicates low probability of such changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on June 14?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$86,310 Vol.
$86,310 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$86,310 Vol.
$86,310 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show a daytime maximum near 21°C at Munich's official station, supported by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and stable high pressure that limits solar heating and convective development. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover around 20–23°C amid typical Atlantic-influenced weather patterns. Trader consensus at 100% for 21°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time observational data confirming limited warming potential. A sudden shift to clearer skies, stronger southerly advection, or reduced cloud cover could allow temperatures to exceed this threshold before sunset, though current guidance indicates low probability of such changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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