The market's near-certain consensus on a 19°C daily maximum in Munich on June 5 reflects the convergence of numerical weather prediction models and initial observational data from regional monitoring networks, aligning with early June climatology of moderate highs driven by typical Atlantic influences and stable high-pressure patterns. Official forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies, with minimal potential for convective heating to push readings higher. While model agreement supports this outcome, final resolution depends on precise station measurements; localized variations from urban heat islands, wind shifts, or late-day cloud cover could realistically alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on June 5?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$54,542 Vol.
$54,542 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$54,542 Vol.
$54,542 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The market's near-certain consensus on a 19°C daily maximum in Munich on June 5 reflects the convergence of numerical weather prediction models and initial observational data from regional monitoring networks, aligning with early June climatology of moderate highs driven by typical Atlantic influences and stable high-pressure patterns. Official forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies, with minimal potential for convective heating to push readings higher. While model agreement supports this outcome, final resolution depends on precise station measurements; localized variations from urban heat islands, wind shifts, or late-day cloud cover could realistically alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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