Recent short-range model guidance from major centers shows ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 31–34°C for Milan on July 1, producing the tightly bunched market probabilities. Primary drivers include modest variability in low-level advection, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal passage that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Milan’s urban heat island and Po Valley subsidence add a consistent warm bias relative to rural sites, while official resolution uses the standard WMO station network. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight model shifts that could narrow or widen the distribution before the calendar day ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月1日のミラノの最高気温は?
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$129,687 Vol.
$129,687 Vol.
30°C or below
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$129,687 Vol.
$129,687 Vol.
30°C or below
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Recent short-range model guidance from major centers shows ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 31–34°C for Milan on July 1, producing the tightly bunched market probabilities. Primary drivers include modest variability in low-level advection, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal passage that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Milan’s urban heat island and Po Valley subsidence add a consistent warm bias relative to rural sites, while official resolution uses the standard WMO station network. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight model shifts that could narrow or widen the distribution before the calendar day ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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