Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$89,191 Vol.
$89,191 Vol.
2026/05/02
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$89,191 Vol.
$89,191 Vol.
2026/05/02
16°C or below
$2,437 Vol.
No
17°C
$938 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,392 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,127 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,779 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,805 Vol.
No
22°C
$13,751 Vol.
No
23°C
$11,861 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,988 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,889 Vol.
Yes
26°C or higher
$12,223 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$89,191終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$89,191終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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